With the primary over, welcome to Platner purgatory summer

With the primary over, welcome to Platner purgatory summer

Maine’s nationally watched US Senate contest has been one of seasons.

Beginning last year, there was the Autumn of the Political Phenomenon, Graham Platner. Then came the Dead Winter for Governor Janet Mills. Then the Spring of Scandal.

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Now, following his win in the Democratic primary on Tuesday, we are headed into the Platner Purgatory Summer, with the campaign existing in a kind of political limbo.

In this purgatory, the Platner campaign will not exactly be dead, nor will it have a chance to thrive. Anything could happen, of course, but from now through Labor Day, Platner — and the hopes of Democrats — will be in some type of holding pattern.

In other words, stuck.

Every story, every rally, every poll, every campaign clambake, and every fund-raising report will be viewed through a fully established lens that likely will not be resolved until the fall: Will whatever has been said about his rocky past matter enough to imperil his chances of beating Republican incumbent Susan Collins?

And what, if anything, is to come?

If there is more damaging information to come out about him, Republicans will likely hold it until closer to the election. Until then, it will likely be at least three more months of the same.

Democratic candidates across the nation will likely not be spared of Platner Purgatory Summer either. Already candidates for Congress and Senate being forced to answer on Platner, who has sucked up so much political oxygen and whom Republicans are using to divide Democrats.

But the people who will decide the Platner conundrum are really tiny group of Americans: female voters, generally older, who in 2020 voted for Joe Biden for president and Collins for Senate. In that election, Biden won Maine statewide by 9 points, as did Collins. That group holds the cards. In the 2024 presidential election, women made up 60 percent of the electorate, according to exit polls.

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What is clear at the moment is that Platner and Democrats need a narrative shift. Traditionally, midterm congressional elections follow the same dynamic: The party out of power tries to make the election about the incumbent president, while the party in power tries to make it about anything else, often by attempting to disqualify the opposing candidate.

In this sense, Platner’s campaign has played right into Republicans’ dreams. Collins might have been the one on defense for largely voting to enable a Republican president’s deeply unpopular agenda back at home, but there has rarely been even a whiff of that all year. When people play a word-association game with the phrase “Maine Senate race,” the first word mentioned is Platner. Right now, the election is about him: whether he is finally a fresh breath of a new style of politics or a new guy on the scene who is simply unelectable.

Flipping this dynamic to make the race once again about Collins’s record in the Senate or about President Trump — in a state he has lost all three times — is not only the first challenge of this summer but of the remainder of the campaign.

Added to this is the fact that this is not a moment when Platner can simply put his head down and point fingers. In this Purgatory Summer, the Platner campaign’s second post-primary mission is also to convince Democrats nationally to continue to care about and invest in this contest rather than write off Maine.

The mission for Democrats, after all, is not simply to defeat Collins and elect Platner. The mission is to flip four Republican-held seats this fall. Maybe they like their chances in North Carolina, Ohio, and Alaska. They might be energized by the results of recent primaries in Iowa and Texas. Maine — the only state with a Republican-held Senate seat in a state Kamala Harris won in 2024 — should be an obvious target.

While there may not be a single moment this summer that Platner can point to as something he needs to win, the more ephemeral victory might simply be convincing national Democrats to stick with him through Purgatory Summer and make it to the Finish Line Fall.

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