{"id":2972,"date":"2026-06-17T23:04:23","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T23:04:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=2972"},"modified":"2026-06-17T23:04:23","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T23:04:23","slug":"a-terse-new-fed-chief-delivers-no-interest-rate-cuts-or-guidance-on-when-they-might-come","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=2972","title":{"rendered":"A terse new Fed chief delivers no interest rate cuts or guidance on when they might come"},"content":{"rendered":"<article>\n<div>\n<p><span>WASHINGTON \u2014 In his first news conference as Federal Reserve chair on Wednesday, Kevin Warsh showed he\u2019s a man of few words. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=2970\">New England\u2019s own Caroline Harvey goes No. 1 in PWHL Draft to the Goldeneyes<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span>Unfortunately for President Trump, who appointed Warsh in hopes of getting significantly lower interest rates, none of those words were \u201crate cut.\u201d <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>In fact, about half of the members on the Fed\u2019s rate-setting committee indicated the Central Bank\u2019s next move might be an <i>increase<\/i> in rates by the end of the year to try to squelch rapidly rising inflation. <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><span>So, despite a change atop the independent central bank, the seat remains hot as Warsh juggles Trump\u2019s demands for lower rates with a US economy under strain from tariffs and the Iran war.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>After a two-day meeting, Fed officials unanimously voted to hold their benchmark interest rate steady at a range between 3.5 and 3.75 percent as analysts had expected. The rate setting committee chaired by Warsh made the announcement in a terse written statement that was just 132 words \u2014 less than half of the 344-word statement issued in April after outgoing chair Jerome Powell\u2019s last meeting.<\/span><\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><span>Get Starting Point<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span>A guide through the most important stories of the morning, delivered Monday through Friday.<\/span><\/div>\n<div>\n<div><label>Enter Email<\/label><\/p>\n<div><button>Sign Up<\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span>Moreover, Warsh\u2019s first post-meeting news conference was about 42 minutes long, down from the typical 50 to 60 minutes under Powell. The close-to-the vest style \u2014 eschewing any formal hints of future actions known as \u201cforward guidance\u201d \u2014 harkened back to the 1990s under legendary Fed Chair Alan Greenspan instead of the more open approach that began during the 2008 financial crisis.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cA change in leadership is a natural and timely opportunity to reaffirm [the Fed\u2019s] mission, to review current practices, and to consider whether those practices best meet our objectives,\u201d Warsh told reporters as he announced a series of task forces that will consider changes, including one on how the Fed communicates to the public.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>One reason for not putting any forward guidance in the statement, or providing any of it himself, Warsh said, was the \u201celevated uncertainty\u201d largely caused by the Iran war. With an interim deal between the US and Iran that would allow the flow of oil again from the Middle East, conditions are changing rapidly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cWe\u2019ll be meeting again in six weeks,\u201d Warsh said Wednesday. \u201cI think we\u2019re going to know more then.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Warsh takes over from Jerome Powell, whose second four-year term as Fed chair expired on May 22. Trump leveled unprecedented public criticism at Powell for not lowering interest rates more aggressively. The Fed was uniquely designed by Congress to act independently and presidents in recent decades have taken a hands-off approach.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>But Trump pressured Powell to resignand used the levers of government to turn up the heat. The Justice Department launched a criminal investigation last year into whether Powell lied to Congress about the Fed\u2019s ongoing renovation of its Washington headquarters. Powell didn\u2019t budge and even broke with tradition to remain on the Fed board after his term as chair ended. His term as a Fed governor expires in early 2028.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Told of the Fed\u2019s decision while attending the Group of Seven summit in France, Trump told reporters, \u201cIt\u2019s all right. Whatever.\u201d <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>He said it was \u201chard to believe\u201d the Fed might raise interest rates later this year, as some members indicated in the committee\u2019s quarterly economic projections. But he expressed confidence in Warsh.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Warsh and Fed monetary policy officials are in a difficult situation amid rising inflation and broader economic turmoil caused by tariffs and the growth of AI.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cDonald Trump has put Kevin Warsh in a real box,\u201d said Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, who led the Democrats\u2019 opposition to his nomination. \u201cTrump may want lower interest rates, but he has set up the economy where Warsh is going to have a real problem delivering on that.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=2968\">Susan Collins laments Roe\u2019s fall but doesn\u2019t \u2018regret\u2019 confirming Kavanaugh<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span>With Iran bottling up oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, gas prices have spiked in recent months and those higher costs have seeped into the economy. The consumer price index jumped to a 4.2 percent annual rate in May, the highest in three years and well above the Fed\u2019s preferred 2 percent level.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>In a Suffolk University\/Boston Globe poll released this week, six in 10 Massachusetts voters said they were somewhat or very concerned about their personal finances. A third of respondents said the biggest hit to their finances was the cost of food and groceries, with 16 percent citing utility costs and 11 percent gasoline prices.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Fed officials try to look past temporary economic shocks, but there have been so many since the pandemic that forecasting is difficult, said Gregory Daco, chief economist at global consulting firm EY-Parthenon. In addition, those shocks have been to the supply of goods, such as oil, while monetary policy affectsdemand by consumers and companies through  making loans more or less expensive.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cIt\u2019s complex because the Fed is having to deal with layered supply shocks that keep coming onto the US economy time after time after time,\u201d he said. \u201cFrom the Fed\u2019s perspective, it\u2019s very hard to calibrate monetary policy to deal with supply shocks.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>As the rest of the world has grappled with the higher oil prices from the Iran war, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan increased interest rates in the past week, although their rates still are lower than the Fed\u2019s.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cWhen you see inflation picking up in the way it does, broadening throughout the economy &#8230; to us this is inflation that needs to be taken into account and that needs to be addressed,\u201d ECB President Christine Lagarde told reporters after the rate hike to 2.5 percent last week.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Fed officials decided not to follow the ECB\u2019s lead. But half of them indicated in their quarterly economic projections that the Fed\u2019s benchmark interest rate would be at least a quarter percentage point higher by the end of the year. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Warsh, who has been critical of Fed projections, said he did not make one himself at the meeting as past chairs have done. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cFor me, it\u2019s not helpful in the conduct of policy,\u201d Warsh said. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>He has argued the Fed should say less about what it might do and his new communications task force will consider the future of those projections.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Diane Swonk, who follows the Fed closely as chief economist at audit and consulting firm KPMG, said the increased transparency in recent years has helped.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cThere\u2019s no easy answers about the economy right now, so to me, I think that it\u2019s helpful to understand where the debate is shifting and how it shifts,\u201d she said.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>But Warsh offered little of that Wednesday. He also wouldn\u2019t say if he had talked with Trump since being sworn in May 22. But Warsh confirmed hehas continued the long tradition of the Fed chair having breakfast with the Treasury secretary every week. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>When asked directly why the Fed didn\u2019t hike interest rates giving the rising inflation, he dodged the question. But when asked what he would tell an average American shopping for groceries, Warsh was more voluble and committed to getting inflation down to normal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cWhat I would say to them is that we [the Fed]cannot have a very significant effect on particular prices,\u201d he said. \u201cBut we do have a really important job there, and it\u2019s to make sure that those changes in oil or beef or eggs or milk don\u2019t broaden in the economy. &#8230; That\u2019s our job, that\u2019s our commitment, that\u2019s our capability, and we\u2019re going to deliver on it.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=2966\">Takeaways from the G7: Trump\u2019s new attitude toward allies buoyed by their praise for Iran deal<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At his first news conference, Kevin Warsh committed to getting inflation back to normal as the Fed held interest rates steady amid rising inflation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2971,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2972","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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