{"id":1559,"date":"2026-05-30T14:03:51","date_gmt":"2026-05-30T14:03:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=1559"},"modified":"2026-05-30T14:03:51","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T14:03:51","slug":"nbas-new-draft-lottery-system-will-balance-out-the-odds-disincentivize-tanking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=1559","title":{"rendered":"NBA\u2019s new draft lottery system will balance out the odds, disincentivize tanking"},"content":{"rendered":"<article>\n<div>\n<p><span><span>C<\/span><\/span><span><span>ommissioner <b>Adam Silver<\/b> and the NBA governors were essentially forced into this change. Because of the rampant tanking by several teams eyeing the upcoming fruitful draft, an adjustment to the draft-lottery system was sorely needed.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=1557\">Game 57: Red Sox up against a solid young pitcher in middle game of series in Cleveland<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span>The league revealed its new \u201c3-2-1 Lottery\u201d plan that decreases the chances of the NBA\u2019s worst teams scoring a high lottery pick and balances out the entire lottery system, disincentivizing teams from losing on purpose to gain a better draft pick.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>For this year\u2019s draft, where Brockton\u2019s own <b>AJ Dybantsa<\/b> is expected to be the No. 1 pick, at least five teams were guilty of tanking, including the Wizards, Jazz, Grizzlies, Nets, and Pacers. Rampant tanking by these teams turned late-season games into a farce with rosters filled with players even the most diehard NBA fan couldn\u2019t identity.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div><span>Related<span>: <\/span><\/span>NBA proposal to reform draft lottery to combat teams tanking should be swatted, Wemby-style<\/div>\n<p><span>That encouraged the Board of Governors to meet immediately after the regular season. The new plan increases the lottery teams from 14 to 16 and each will receive 3, 2, or 1 lottery balls depending on their record.<\/span><\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><span>Get Starting Point<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span>A guide through the most important stories of the morning, delivered Monday through Friday.<\/span><\/div>\n<div>\n<div><label>Enter Email<\/label><\/p>\n<div><button>Sign Up<\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span>The teams with the three worst records have a combined 15.4 percent chance at a top-three pick as opposed to 40.1 percent in previous drafts. The teams with the three worst records have a 61 percent chance at a top-10 pick and a 39 percent shot at picks No. 11 and 12.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The remaining seven non-playoff teams have a combined 24.1 percent chance at a top-three pick and 39 percent at a top-five pick. An additional wrinkle is teams that finish with the seventh and eighth playoff seeds are also lottery eligible and those teams have a combined 8.7 percent chance at a top-three pick.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Also, teams will not be allowed to pick No. 1 overall for consecutive seasons or pick in the top five in three consecutive drafts. The plan is in place for at least three seasons, will be reviewed in 2029.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Silver was reluctant to make this change but the blatancy of tanking began to hurt the on-court product and damage the credibility of the league.<\/span><\/p>\n<div><span>Related<span>: <\/span><\/span>Dan Shaughnessy: Even though Celtics bowed out of playoffs, there\u2019s plenty of incentive to watch Knicks<\/div>\n<p><span>\u201cThere was a tone set by Adam coming out of our December board meeting with focus that we had to do something here,\u201d league operations president <b>Byron Spruell<\/b> said. \u201cWe didn\u2019t necessarily know it was going to be this outcome because of the journey that we\u2019ve been on but it was clear he set a nice tone for us to really attack this in an appropriate way. Were there a few more vocal governors than not, that\u2019s the case on any issue. You can definitely think of the governors owning this as an issue. We followed process to get to the right answers. Definitely a few owners understanding how corrosive tanking can be to our organizations and the game itself, integrity being a big part of that.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The plan was approved by 29 of the NBA governors. The one nay vote came from the Grizzlies, who were the victims of unintentional friendly fire with the plan because of their trade of <b>Jaren Jackson Jr.<\/b> to the Jazz for a 2027 first-round pick. Because the Jazz are picking second this year and selected fifth in 2025, the Jazz are not allowed to pick in the top five in 2027.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Despite the fact that the pick is Memphis\u2019s through trade, it is still officially Utah\u2019s and the league decided not to grandfather the previous rule, thus preventing the Grizzlies from a top-five pick. Because of the new system, Utah could have the 10th-worst record \u2014 which would be a marked improvement \u2014 and still have a 41.1 percent chance at a top-five pick. Memphis is the major loser with this new system.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>If the Grizzlies do land a top-five pick next year, it will be moved to sixth.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cIf you were to grandfather in already traded picks, it essentially becomes windfall for the teams that owns those picks,\u201d said <b>Evan Wasch<\/b>, the NBA\u2019s executive vice president of strategy and growth. \u201cBecause unlike other picks, they would be subject to potential benefits or upside of the restrictions but none of the downside.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Wasch said, for example, if the lottery shaped up next year as it did this year, with Washington winning the top pick, the Wizards would not be able to draft first, thus catapulting the Jazz\u2019s pick (going to Memphis) to No. 1. So the Grizzlies would benefit from the Wizards being unable to draft first, so the league wanted to avoid those possible loopholes. The other 29 teams benefit, but the Grizzlies don\u2019t.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>While tanking was obvious and blatant as the season progressed, those teams would never publicly admit they were tanking. Injuries, load management, and development were used as excuses for purposely losing. But a revised lottery system that was overwhelmingly approved meant that many owners collectively agreed that tanking was an issue. So how did the NBA get tanking teams to actually admit they were tanking?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cWe knew it was an overall issue that we had to deal with at some level and maybe even the word being \u2018overcorrected\u2019 is coming up,\u201d Spruell said. \u201cWe felt like we had to do something strong, in which case we got a lot of support from the <b>Mat Ishbia\u2019s<\/b> [outspoken Suns governor] of the world and we heard from some of the lower teams, particularly some of the smaller-market teams. On the whole, thinking about the current media deals, bringing back competitive nature to it, bringing back to the real force of the league and what we stand for, that\u2019s the part there people bought in and said, \u2018OK we get it, if you put together the right package. On the board for the league\u2019s purpose we need all to jump onboard.\u2019<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cWhether you\u2019re at the extreme area of where Mat was or whether you\u2019re one of the lower teams that they would say didn\u2019t necessarily tank but were unfortunate this year to injury or otherwise, but there was certainly some activity going on that felt like tanking. The teams have really bought into this and that\u2019s what we needed.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<div>\n<h5>CLEVELAND ROCKED<\/h5>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<h2>Sifting through the rubble of Cavaliers<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span>When the Cavaliers made the risky move of acquiring seasoned but flawed point guard <b>James Harden<\/b> from the Clippers for often-injured <b>Darius Garland<\/b>, the plan was for the club to contend immediately. The Cavaliers could never push the Celtics and Pistons for the Eastern Conference\u2019s top two seeds and eventually finished fourth, a testament to their inconsistency.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>After two emotional seven-game series against the Raptors and Pistons, the Cavaliers were completely overwhelmed and humiliated in the conference finals by the Knicks in a four-game sweep. After blowing a 22-point fourth-quarter lead in Game 1, the Cavaliers had no fight left. They were pummeled by the streaking Knicks and blown out at home in the close-out game.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>While Cleveland reached the East finals for the first time since <b>LeBron James<\/b> was king of the city, getting swept despite the presence of Harden, guard <b>Donovan Mitchell<\/b>, big men <b>Jarrett Allen<\/b> and <b>Evan Mobley<\/b>, and a solid bench was a downer to a solid season.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The Cavaliers were never considered serious contenders in the East and the Knicks proved that. The teams were light years apart as New York\u2019s teamwork, shot making, and relentlessness humbled the frustrated Cavaliers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=1555\">Piece by piece, the Citgo sign is coming down to move on up<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span><b>Kenny Atkinson<\/b>, who did not have a good series in his coaching matchup against <b>Mike Brown<\/b> and made excuses for why the Cavaliers melted in key moments, said fatigue was a factor. Cleveland failed to close out both of its previous series in Game 6.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cI\u2019ve been there a long time and seen this before and you have to take advantage of those opportunities,\u201d Atkinson said. \u201cThe way the scheduling goes on in the league, you get on a hectic schedule. The density and frequency of the games, never had two days\u2019 rest, it played a part in it. I\u2019m not going to say that\u2019s the reason we lost. We would have had a better chance if we take care of business in those Games 6s.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<div><span>Related<span>: <\/span><\/span>Even though the Celtics bowed out of the NBA playoffs, there\u2019s plenty of incentive to watch the Knicks<\/div>\n<p><span>The Cavaliers were a putrid 28 percent from the 3-point line in the series and the quartet of Mobley, <b>Max Strus<\/b>, <b>Sam Merrill<\/b>, and Harden were a combined 25 for 95 from beyond the arc. Cleveland needed the three to compete and nothing worked.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cIf I have two regrets, I\u2019m disappointed for the group,\u201d Atkinson said. \u201cFrom a coaching standpoint, normally you\u2019d say I wish we had this player-wise or roster-wise. I can\u2019t say that. Ownership gifted us with a wonderful roster. I feel bad for the group because you want to fulfill your expectations. That\u2019s disappointing.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cWe took a step. This is how this goes. You have to keep climbing. We fell short. There\u2019s no bigger motivator to get to the next level.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Mitchell turned in another All-Star regular season and reached the conference finals for the first time. But unlike <b>Jalen Brunson<\/b>, who carried the Knicks in stretches, he couldn\u2019t do the same for Cleveland.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The question is whether Mitchell is a top option on a championship team. This series did not help that assertion but he received kudos from Atkinson.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cHe\u2019s the No. 1 reason we went to the conference finals,\u201d Atkinson said. \u201cThere\u2019s a mental-toughness growth there, he took it to another level, led even better than he did before. Adapted to a new roster. He was a big-time growth this year from a leadership standpoint.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>But does this team have a chance for growth? Harden is 36, and once again was exploited on defense and didn\u2019t score efficiently enough to compensate for his shortcomings. Mobley disappeared at times, while Allen has proven to be a quality big man but not a front-line option.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>What crushed the Cavaliers was the lack of shooting production from Merrill and Strus, who got their fair share of good looks.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cThere are barriers and we jumped a barrier,\u201d Atkinson said. \u201c It\u2019s not easy to do in a really competitive East. It\u2019s a reach to say if we would have won Game 1 it would have changed the series. Pretty much all the other games they had a big advantage.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cYou\u2019ve got to take a step back. I think we really do a good job as an organization. I\u2019m pretty darn proud of what we did. I\u2019d love to get a full training camp. I\u2019d love to get full reps with this group. Love the group.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<div><span>Related<span>: <\/span><\/span>https:\/\/www.bostonglobe.com\/2026\/05\/26\/sports\/joe-mazzulla-celtics-coach-of-the-year\/<\/div>\n<p><span>Harden has a player option for next season and said he wants to return to Cleveland. That is likely an opt-out and a long-term contract at a reduced price that will give the former MVP security. But again, the question is whether any team can win a title with Harden as the primary ballhandler. So far the answer has been no. He\u2019s convinced the Cavaliers, with a full training camp, are destined for success.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cWe accomplished a lot. Still short of the goal,\u201d Harden said. \u201cNow there\u2019s another level to get to, maybe two levels. I think a lot of that is our first time together and the first two series and we had opportunities to handle the series much quicker and we didn\u2019t. That team [New York] has been together for years. I think we\u2019re in a good space and got some work to do but we had a good season.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cWe\u2019re a very talented group. We don\u2019t have the experience in playing with each other in postseason basketball. I think we accomplished a lot, winning a Game 7 at home, winning a Game 7 on the road. Setting ourselves up positioning-wise, being the fourth seed was tough.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Harden wanted out of Los Angeles because he sought the opportunity to win a title, but the Cavaliers never emerged as a serious contender. They were able to beat two flawed teams on the way to the conference finals and now may have to stick with the current roster because of salary cap limitations. Cleveland is a second-apron team.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Harden gives himself a higher grade than his critics.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cComing here was a piece to fulfill whatever needs to be fulfilled,\u201d he said. \u201cDefensively being extremely solid and offensively getting guys shots and fitting into a system that was already in place. I think I did good. I could have been better, I feel like I can always be better but I know one thing that I work extremely hard but things don\u2019t always go for you as far as shot making but being as seasoned as I am, I try to impact the game in other ways.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201cYou look at this film and we had unlimited open looks and we just didn\u2019t make them and they made them. If we make shots, then it\u2019s a completely different series.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<h4>Layups<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span>It appears former Celtic <b>Terry Rozier<\/b>, waived recently by the Heat, has played his last NBA game. A defendant in the betting case against Rozier said he paid the guard $100,000 to alter his performance for gambling purposes. Rozier has been accused of accepting bribes to increase prop bet odds and was accused of leaving a Hornets game with an injury to ensure his prop bet numbers decreased. Former NBA player <b>Damon Jones<\/b> has already admitted to giving player participation tips to bettors as an assistant coach with the Lakers and helping organize poker games that were rigged. He has yet to be sentenced \u2026 Arizona forward <b>Koa Peat<\/b>, a projected late first-round pick after some disappointing measurements at the NBA Combine, has decided to stay in the draft rather than return to school for his sophomore season. Peat could be a potential Celtics target at No. 27. Other notable players who returned to school were Alabama forward <b>Amari Allen<\/b>, USC guard <b>Alijah Arenas<\/b>, Michigan guard <b>Elliot Cadeau<\/b>, Michigan State guard <b>Jeremy Fears<\/b>, Wake Forest guard <b>Juke Harris<\/b>, and Illinois forward <b>Andrej Stojakovic<\/b> \u2026 The Hawks promoted general manager <b>Onsi Saleh<\/b> to president of basketball operations as the executive had been emerging as a candidate for the 76ers position. Saleh helped put together the Hawks team that was one of the league\u2019s surprises and is positioned to take another significant step forward in the East \u2026 Former Celtics second-round pick <b>Yam Madar<\/b> could be coming to the United States to play basketball but it won\u2019t be in Boston. Madar has committed to play college basketball for new LSU coach <b>Will Wade<\/b>, but he has to be cleared to do so. Madar, 25, has played international ball since 2018. Because Madar played professionally overseas, it would appear he would be ineligible at the NCAA level \u2014 but with the lenient rules in recent years regarding former NBA draft picks, he is going to apply for eligibility. Madar played for the Celtics\u2019 entry in the 2021 Las Vegas Summer League but decided to go back to Partizan Belgrade to continue his overseas career. <b>R.J. Luis<\/b> has also committed to LSU. Luis, 23, did not play an NBA game but signed two-way contracts with the Jazz and Celtics before being waived. NBA players who either never played in an official game or had limited experience have been testing the NCAA waters in recent years. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/bostonrelocationinsider.com\/?p=1553\">How a chemical tank disaster struck at the heart of a Washington state mill tow<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For this year\u2019s draft, where Brockton\u2019s AJ Dybantsa is expected to be the No. 1 pick, rampant tanking turned late-season games into a farce.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1558,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sport"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>NBA\u2019s new draft lottery system will balance out the odds, disincentivize tanking - 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